$A$ laboratory blood test is $99 \%$ effective in detecting a certain disease when it is in fact,present. However,the test also yields a false positive result for $0.5 \%$ of the healthy persons tested (that is,if a healthy person is tested,then,with probability $0.005,$ the test will imply he has the disease). If $0.1 \%$ of the population actually has the disease,what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

Let $U_1$ and $U_2$ be two urns such that $U_1$ contains $3$ white and $2$ red balls,and $U_2$ contains only $1$ white ball. $A$ fair coin is tossed. If head appears,then $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. However,if tail appears,then $2$ balls are drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. Now $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_2$.
$1.$ The probability of the drawn ball from $U_2$ being white is
$(A)$ $\frac{13}{30}$ $(B)$ $\frac{23}{30}$ $(C)$ $\frac{19}{30}$ $(D)$ $\frac{11}{30}$
$2.$ Given that the drawn ball from $U_2$ is white,the probability that head appeared on the coin is
$(A)$ $\frac{17}{23}$ $(B)$ $\frac{11}{23}$ $(C)$ $\frac{15}{23}$ $(D)$ $\frac{12}{23}$
Give the answer for question $1$ and $2.$

Bag $B_1$ contains $6$ white and $4$ blue balls,Bag $B_2$ contains $4$ white and $6$ blue balls,and Bag $B_3$ contains $5$ white and $5$ blue balls. One of the bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If the ball is white,then the probability that the ball is drawn from Bag $B_2$ is:

In a certain city, the ratio of men to women is $5:4$. It is found that $80\%$ of men and $90\%$ of women are literate. If a person selected at random is found to be illiterate, then the probability that the person is a man is....

Box $A$ contains $2$ black and $3$ red balls,while Box $B$ contains $3$ black and $4$ red balls. Out of these two boxes,one is selected at random; and the probability of choosing Box $A$ is double that of Box $B$. If a red ball is drawn from the selected box,then the probability that it has come from Box $B$ is:

In a certain recruitment test with multiple choice questions,there are four options to answer each question,out of which only one is correct. An intelligent student knows $90 \%$ of the correct answers,while a weak student knows only $20 \%$ of the correct answers. If an intelligent student gets the correct answer for a question,what is the probability that he was guessing it?